User:Exodus04/Probability

This page is up to date (v1.2.2).

Probability

This page is intended to provide players with a rough idea of how many actions/clears/attempts it will take to source particular items or pets. MelvorIdle uses a system of random distribution when aquiring luck-based items - which revolves around a binomial distribution mechanism. Using this Simulation, the random distribution was analysed using a numerical method.

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The following table shows how you should interpret the data:

Item Goal	Top 25% Luck	Average Luck	Bottom 25% Luck	Simulation
Volcanic Cave (Ancient Set)	χ clears to be in the top 25% luckiest	χ clears on average	χ clears to be in the bottom 25% luckiest	Simulation Output

Item Goal	Top 25% Luck	Average Luck	Bottom 25% Luck	Simulation
Volcanic Cave (Ancient Set)	χ clears to be in the top 25% luckiest	χ clears on average	χ clears to be in the bottom 25% luckiest	Simulation Output
Volcanic Cave (Ancient Set)	χ clears to be in the top 25% luckiest	χ clears on average	χ clears to be in the bottom 25% luckiest	Simulation Output
Volcanic Cave (Ancient Set)	χ clears to be in the top 25% luckiest	χ clears on average	χ clears to be in the bottom 25% luckiest	Simulation Output
Volcanic Cave (Ancient Set)	χ clears to be in the top 25% luckiest	χ clears on average	χ clears to be in the bottom 25% luckiest	Simulation Output

Melvor Idle version v1.2.2 (Released: 15th November 2023)
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