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Drop rates: Difference between revisions
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It might be surprising to learn that farming for rare items is often going to take considerably longer than you may have initially thought based on the drop-rate. Of course, you might get lucky and drop this reward on your first attempt! | It might be surprising to learn that farming for rare items is often going to take considerably longer than you may have initially thought based on the drop-rate. Of course, you might get lucky and drop this reward on your first attempt! | ||
== Visual representation of drop rates == | |||
To visualize what this means, here is a graph showing four different drop rates: | |||
[[File:Visualized_binomial_drop_rates.png|400px]] | |||
{| class="wikitable" | |||
|- | |||
! Drop rate !! Color !! #Attempts for 80% Chance | |||
|- | |||
| 1/10,000 || Red || 16,000 | |||
|- | |||
| 1/20,000 || Orange || 32,000 | |||
|- | |||
| 1/30,000 || Blue || 48,000 | |||
|- | |||
| 1/40,000 || Green || 64,500 | |||
|} | |||
So keep grinding, and see the next section for some of the math behind the probabilities of drops. | So keep grinding, and see the next section for some of the math behind the probabilities of drops. | ||
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This means that you would need 27,726 attempts to give you a 75% chance of discovering that item. | This means that you would need 27,726 attempts to give you a 75% chance of discovering that item. | ||
== Further reading == | |||
Further information can be found: | |||
* Online [https://dropchance.app calculators] that you can use to calculate drop-rates. | |||
* Information on the [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Binomial_distribution Binomial Distribution]. | |||